Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 3.088623 3.260281 3.441942 3.649469 3.881202 4.133452 4.430803
2025-04-27 2.865417 3.105663 3.373028 3.696159 4.081100 4.531783 5.110132
2025-05-04 2.719772 3.014891 3.358040 3.794642 4.348223 5.046620 6.031248
2025-05-11 2.565929 2.896709 3.295513 3.825906 4.537446 5.502017 7.002074
2025-05-18 2.413888 2.765266 3.201614 3.804074 4.653570 5.885159 8.000811
2025-05-25 2.243532 2.596352 3.043688 3.678234 4.606941 6.026300 8.678758
2025-06-01 2.123590 2.482151 2.946220 3.622789 4.652339 6.319222 9.758965
2025-06-08 2.027285 2.391343 2.871603 3.590197 4.726157 6.677238 11.173987
2025-06-15 1.956948 2.329642 2.830893 3.601347 4.869914 7.198315 13.353806
2025-06-22 1.866486 2.234990 2.736809 3.521851 4.850378 7.405548 14.920258
2025-06-29 1.774274 2.132988 2.625620 3.405691 4.751414 7.428698 15.985904
2025-07-06 1.702271 2.055311 2.544682 3.330112 4.714842 7.580345 17.747819
2025-07-13 1.659041 2.020099 2.529809 3.370209 4.919319 8.408393 24.468633
2025-07-20 1.620716 1.989908 2.520652 3.420019 5.157499 9.464724 38.527425
2025-07-27 1.594810 1.976035 2.535219 3.512674 5.508718 11.107755 94.568536
2025-08-03 1.556740 1.942289 2.516623 3.545362 5.743588 12.632687 1039.216407
2025-08-10 1.511478 1.895550 2.474332 3.530467 5.869075 13.924601 NaN
2025-08-17 1.450928 1.823311 2.387052 3.423412 5.751851 14.105784 NaN
2025-08-24 1.406771 1.773895 2.334002 3.376847 5.779776 15.063611 NaN
2025-08-31 1.369536 1.733331 2.293034 3.349699 5.854085 16.422423 NaN
2025-09-07 1.341978 1.706246 2.272569 3.360638 6.035345 18.818777 NaN
2025-09-14 1.301798 1.658202 2.214635 3.291349 5.978555 19.556043 NaN
2025-09-21 1.258095 1.603332 2.142949 3.189158 5.811133 19.269235 NaN